The longer the cycle continues the more undatable fill the population of date app users.

Your first assumption relies on the fact that the only way people leave dating apps is if they find a relationship.

I would contend that the bigger group are those that have no luck on the apps and leave as it is a waste of time.

This works better with your second assumption that I agree with. The apps don’t want you to be successful, they want you to reman on the platform. So finding an actual connection is not their goal.