You seem to confuse “someone likes you” with “someone finds you attractive”. Maybe someone smiles at you just because you seem like a nice person. I would even argue that this happens much more frequently than someone smiling at you because they find you attractive.
Well, this is aimed at straight dudes in any case, so in this mindset “girls” (!!!) only either are for sex or unimportant.
Given P(she smiles at you | she likes you) is approximately 1
Assuming P(she likes you) > 0
Then we can sub into
P(she likes you | she smiles at u) = (P(she smiles at you | she likes you) * P(she likes you))/P(she smiles in general)
To get P(she likes you | she smiles at u) = x/P(she smiles in general)
Where x is some number between 0 and 1
Therefore we can conclude the more she smiles the less likely its cos she likes you. Therefore find the oens who dont smile and get em to smile. Therefore bigtiddygothgf.
unfortunately, P(she likes you) ≈ 0
So you’re saying there’s a chance?
Nice, we can also assume that P(she smiles at you | she likes you) is approximately 1, simplifying to only 2 variables, and also substitute P(you are likable) for P(she likes you) to remove all unknowns.
and also substitute P(you are likable) for P(she likes you)
That seems like a pretty wild leap of logic. Being likeable in general isn’t a substitute for a specific person liking you. Though there’s probably a correlation related to your overall “likeability score”.
So you’re saying further research is needed to constrain P(she likes you|you are likeable)?
Damn you priors
I’d be a lot less confused by a Venn diagram.
So lowest denominator possible (rarely smiles)?
P(she only has a facial paralysis)
Alternatively
P(she smiles at you| she likes you) but…
Wtf? This gives Incel vibes
Smash! Next question.
Why?
